Massive extremely dangerous shallow earthquake in Mindanao, Philippines

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This topic contains 14 replies, has 6 voices, and was last updated by Goldenknight Goldenknight 10 months, 1 week ago.

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  • #5129
    Jonathan
    Jonathan
    Keymaster

    Update 00:42 UTC : Based on theoretical calculations, nearly 3.6 million people should have felt a very strong shaking and 7.6 million people a strong shaking.
    Based on the incoming reader reports from places at less then 100 km from the epicenter we are receiving strong shaking values, a little less than the theoretical outcome.

    Update 00:32 UTC : It would really surprise us that based on the current data, that there will be no damage, injuries or fatalities. Balilihan , very close to the epicenter has a population of 17000 people

    Extremely dangerous shallow earthquake (based on preliminary data). The earthquake struck below land near Carmen. More details in a moment

    Massive extremely dangerous shallow earthquake in Mindanao, Philippines
    “Fair Use For Educational or Discussion Purposes”

    "Baruch haba ba'Shem Adonai !" "Blessed is He that comes in the Name of the LORD !"
    #5132
    Jonathan
    Jonathan
    Keymaster

    Update 00:46 UTC : Another very bad sign for potential damage is that the shaking lasted very long. The longer the shaking lasts the more damage can be inflicted. This is one of the most dangerous and strongest earthquakes of the last couple of years.
    We receive values of MMI V in Negros.

    http://earthquake-report.com/2013/10/15/very-strong-earthquake-mindanao-philippines-on-october-15-2013/
    “Fair Use For Educational or Discussion Purposes”

    "Baruch haba ba'Shem Adonai !" "Blessed is He that comes in the Name of the LORD !"
    #5138
    Jonathan
    Jonathan
    Keymaster

    Update 01:09 UTC : The theoretical damage engine from Max Wyss is giving the following grim results :
    ESTIMATE OF HUMAN LOSSES
    Injured Exp. min/max: 100/1500
    Fatalities Exp. min/max: 0/200

    Update 01:04 UTC : The instagram image below comes from Cebu, still a considerable distance from the epicenter (approx. 60 km !)

    Update 00:59 UTC : GDACS reports that even with an earthquake below land, small tsunami waves may have landed on some shores. The table below gives an indication about their theoretical results :

    Update 00:55 UTC : Aftershocks are currently striking the greater epicenter area. Some aftershocks are withing the M6 range and can be damaging from themselves. Expect very much damage, many injured and and also some fatalities.

    http://earthquake-report.com/2013/10/15/very-strong-earthquake-mindanao-philippines-on-october-15-2013/
    “Fair Use For Educational or Discussion Purposes”

    "Baruch haba ba'Shem Adonai !" "Blessed is He that comes in the Name of the LORD !"
    #5139
    Jonathan
    Jonathan
    Keymaster

    Update 01:10 UTC : Reports are giving at least 4 fatalities. Many provincial authorities have suspended classes for today. Also reports of many collapsed houses in Bohol

    http://earthquake-report.com/2013/10/15/very-strong-earthquake-mindanao-philippines-on-october-15-2013/
    “Fair Use For Educational or Discussion Purposes”

    "Baruch haba ba'Shem Adonai !" "Blessed is He that comes in the Name of the LORD !"
    #5144
    Jonathan
    Jonathan
    Keymaster

    Update 01:17 UTC : A 400 year old church in Bohol has collapsed

    Some ER readers experiences :

    Cebu City : I’ve been in several earthquakes in my life. This was by far the strongest & most frightening. I thought my building would fall down. Many aftershocks continuing every few minutes. Power is out everywhere. Even our generator has not come on yet.

    Update 01:17 UTC : Reports from Bohol are mentioning “roads torn up, electricity cables down…”

    http://earthquake-report.com/2013/10/15/very-strong-earthquake-mindanao-philippines-on-october-15-2013/
    “Fair Use For Educational or Discussion Purposes”

    "Baruch haba ba'Shem Adonai !" "Blessed is He that comes in the Name of the LORD !"
    #5146
    Jonathan
    Jonathan
    Keymaster

    Update 01:32 UTC : The picture below shows the kind of damage that we can expect the following hours.

    Update 01:32 UTC : Good news from Negros Oriental who is reporting no structural damage.

    Update 01:30 UTC : New recalculated data from USGS are locating the epicenter in between Balilihan, Bohol and Sevilla. Also good news is that the depth of the hypocenter is at 57 km instead of the initially reported 33 km. That’s a world of difference. The deeper the hypocenter, the less dangerous the earthquake is BUT this also means that the earthquake will be felt in a wider radius.

    Update 01:25 UTC : A Initial Focal Mechanism is pointing to a reverse faulting (= a fault who is pushing at both ends towards each other).

    http://earthquake-report.com/2013/10/15/very-strong-earthquake-mindanao-philippines-on-october-15-2013/
    “Fair Use For Educational or Discussion Purposes”

    "Baruch haba ba'Shem Adonai !" "Blessed is He that comes in the Name of the LORD !"
    #5155
    oyaah
    oyaah
    Participant

    Oh no! Praying for my fellow countrymen back home :-(

    #5158

    Jan in CT
    Participant

    The RSOE EDIS site is showing that this was a 7.2 earthquake. God Bless, Jan

    #5174
    Jonathan
    Jonathan
    Keymaster

    Update 02:18 UTC : The death toll has unfortunately increased from 4 to 6 (Bohol : 2 and Cebu : 4)

    Update 02:13 UTC : The economic damage is expected to be huge. The CATDAT engine of James Daniell may be able to give an initial result later today.

    Update 02:06 UTC : We are receiving very few reports from the actual epicenter area, which may mean that mobile communication and electricity is down in that area. No new reports on injured and/or fatalities. this is normal so shortly after the earthquake as we are still in the Chaos timeframe.

    Update 01:53 UTC : Our own CATDAT theoretical model comes out with 10-20 fatalities median due to shaking… Depending on hypocenter. We have also reports of collapsed houses along the coastal roads. The historic buildings of the province have been hardly hit.

    Update 01:40 UTC : The initial theoretical injured / fatalities expectation was based on a focal depth of 33 km. It is now 57 km which will bring the number of fatalities down considerably. Another reason to decrease this number is the time of the morning that the earthquake struck. Most people were on the road or at least out of the houses..

    Update 01:32 UTC : The picture below shows the kind of damage that we can expect the following hours.

    http://earthquake-report.com/2013/10/15/very-strong-earthquake-mindanao-philippines-on-october-15-2013/
    “Fair Use For Educational or Discussion Purposes”

    "Baruch haba ba'Shem Adonai !" "Blessed is He that comes in the Name of the LORD !"
    #5179
    Jonathan
    Jonathan
    Keymaster

    Update 02:31 UTC : The NDRRMC (comparable with the Civil Defense elsewhere) will hold a briefing at 12 noon today (local time) on the effects of the Bohol earthquake.

    Update 02:26 UTC : James Daniell has calculated (based on the preliminary data we have received so far) that the damage will be 6-22 million US$, depending on intensity assumed at epicenter – this is a lot for the Philippines. We will give a closer estimate later today when we have more info from each town (= 500-800 million Philippine pesos)

    http://earthquake-report.com/2013/10/15/very-strong-earthquake-mindanao-philippines-on-october-15-2013/
    “Fair Use For Educational or Discussion Purposes”

    "Baruch haba ba'Shem Adonai !" "Blessed is He that comes in the Name of the LORD !"
    #5187

    sammy
    Participant

    I just woke up and it’s all over the news now. I hope there are no more casualties. :-(

    I can do all things through Christ who strengthens me. (Philippians 4:13)
    #5199

    -deleted-
    Participant

    Those pictures are horrifying. Late world news (or should I say early news for insomniacs) is coming on soon where I am. I bet they’ll be showing this at the top of the news. How sad. Lord, please call us up soon.

    -deleted-
    #5365
    Goldenknight
    Goldenknight
    Participant

    I wonder why this isn’t being reported on the major news — is it not news anymore when there is a megaquake???

    Jeremiah 29:11
    #5368
    Jonathan
    Jonathan
    Keymaster

    I wonder why this isn’t being reported on the major news — is it not news anymore when there is megaquake???

    SSSSSSSSSHHHHHHHHH! The sheeple are sleeping :Hi: You don’t want to wake them and let them know that the end might be near :negative:

    "Baruch haba ba'Shem Adonai !" "Blessed is He that comes in the Name of the LORD !"
    #5369
    Goldenknight
    Goldenknight
    Participant

    Haha Brother Jonathan :good:

    Jeremiah 29:11
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